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Comments on Position Statement no. 9 “Scenarios for 2021”

Since the publication of our “Scenarios for 2021” we have received numerous questions about which of these scenarios is the most likely. However, it is not possible to provide a clear-cut answer. One of the reasons is that the probability of each of these scenarios becoming a reality depends not only on actions over which we have some influence (i.e. the efficiency of the vaccination system and people’s behavior), but also on factors over which we have little influence.

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